Nova Russas vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Russas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
DTA
2 - 2
NOV
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 0
MAR
18%
22%
60%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | +4 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 2
18%
22%
60%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 0
NOV
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ICA
2 - 0
AEC
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 10 | 48 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
TRA
0 - 1
ICA
18%
22%
60%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ICA
1 - 0
ARS
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 20 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ICA
2 - 3
ASA
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ASA
1 - 1
ICA
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |