Nova Russas vs Crateús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Russas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAO
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
IGU
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 1
NOV
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
QUI
23%
21%
55%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 1
TRA
28%
24%
49%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 3
BAR
56%
22%
23%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
IGU
2 - 2
CRA
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
CRA
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CRA
5 - 1
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 1
QUI
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |