Nova Mutum vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
NME
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
BRA
22%
22%
56%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
NME
59%
21%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 4
NME
14%
19%
67%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 3
NME
21%
21%
58%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
VIL
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
NME
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
LON
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
VAS
30%
30%
41%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 0
VIL
42%
29%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |