Nova Mutum vs União Rondonópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
65.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
NME
1 - 4
PRI
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CUI
5 - 0
NME
95%
5%
1%
|
46 | 88 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
LTD
2 - 1
NME
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
NME
1 - 0
CSS
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LUV
1 - 1
NME
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
URO
0 - 3
VAS
11%
22%
67%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
URO
2 - 2
CUI
11%
26%
63%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
URO
0 - 2
GOI
9%
22%
69%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CSS
0 - 0
URO
8%
15%
77%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
APA
2 - 3
URO
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |