Nova Mutum vs União Rondonópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AAC
0 - 2
NME
14%
19%
67%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
DBO
1 - 1
NME
22%
22%
56%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NME
0 - 1
MIX
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
5 - 2
NME
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
URO
2 - 1
NME
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
URO
3 - 0
LUV
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 2
URO
15%
20%
65%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
URO
2 - 0
DBO
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
URO
3 - 0
INT
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CEI
2 - 0
URO
53%
26%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |