Nova Mutum vs Poconé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DBO
2 - 0
NME
26%
22%
52%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
NME
1 - 1
MIX
67%
18%
14%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
LTD
0 - 2
NME
33%
23%
44%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
NME
3 - 0
LUV
17%
19%
64%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
CUI
1 - 0
NME
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Poconé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
POC
4 - 1
LUV
13%
18%
69%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
POC
2 - 1
DBO
27%
21%
52%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
SIN
1 - 0
POC
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
POC
1 - 3
URO
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
LTD
1 - 0
POC
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |