Nova Mutum vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
LTD
1 - 2
NME
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 1
NME
18%
21%
61%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
NME
1 - 0
PRI
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 15 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NME
0 - 1
URO
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AAC
0 - 2
NME
14%
19%
67%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
LUV
3 - 2
ACA
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
0 - 3
LUV
14%
18%
69%
|
47 | 15 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LUV
0 - 0
AAC
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
LUV
1 - 2
CUI
13%
25%
62%
|
47 | 87 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
URO
3 - 0
LUV
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |