Nova Mutum vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
SOR
0 - 1
NME
16%
20%
65%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
NME
1 - 1
VIL
11%
18%
70%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
NME
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
BRA
22%
22%
56%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
NME
59%
21%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
LUV
2 - 0
SIN
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
LUV
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LUV
1 - 0
NME
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LUV
0 - 0
POC
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LUV
2 - 1
ACA
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |