Matogrossense Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Nova Mutum vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LUV
1 - 0
NME
30%
24%
46%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
DBO
0 - 1
NME
24%
22%
54%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SIN
1 - 2
NME
13%
19%
68%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
NME
2 - 1
LTD
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
NME
1 - 1
CUI
11%
18%
72%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LUV
1 - 0
NME
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LUV
2 - 1
ACA
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LUV
0 - 0
POC
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CUI
1 - 0
LUV
83%
13%
5%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
SOR
1 - 1
LUV
22%
21%
57%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |