Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Nova Mutum vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
44.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LUV
0 - 0
NME
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
SIN
1 - 1
NME
16%
19%
65%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
NME
1 - 0
SIN
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
URO
0 - 0
NME
37%
23%
40%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NME
1 - 1
SIN
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LUV
0 - 0
NME
52%
22%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
CUI
2 - 0
LUV
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
LUV
0 - 2
CUI
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
LUV
3 - 0
MIX
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LTD
4 - 0
LUV
22%
21%
56%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |