Nova Mutum vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
63.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
CUI
1 - 0
NME
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
LUV
1 - 1
DBO
73%
17%
11%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
GOI
4 - 2
LUV
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
LUV
2 - 1
GOI
19%
21%
60%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 2
LUV
28%
28%
45%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
LUV
6 - 2
ABC
74%
17%
10%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |