Nova Mutum vs Dom Bosco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
NME
4 - 2
LON
15%
23%
63%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NME
1 - 3
CUI
10%
22%
69%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CEC
1 - 0
NME
26%
23%
51%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
NME
13%
19%
68%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NME
0 - 0
ACA
74%
18%
9%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Dom Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
DBO
2 - 1
CEC
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SIN
0 - 2
DBO
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
DBO
2 - 1
LUV
29%
26%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DBO
0 - 1
CUI
7%
18%
75%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 1
DBO
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |