Nova Mutum vs Academia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
LTD
2 - 1
NME
21%
22%
57%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NME
0 - 1
URO
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
DBO
1 - 1
NME
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NME
2 - 2
ACA
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
CUI
3 - 2
NME
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Academia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 0
DBO
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 3
LUV
13%
19%
68%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
CUI
4 - 0
ACA
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 78 | 50 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 0
SOR
28%
22%
51%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
SIN
1 - 0
ACA
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |