Nova Iguaçu vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
63.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
18.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
MAD
0 - 0
NOV
15%
22%
63%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
BRO
1 - 4
NOV
6%
14%
80%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAD
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
FLU
2 - 0
NOV
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
VOL
0 - 0
NOV
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
VAS
0 - 1
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
URO
0 - 3
VAS
11%
22%
67%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
FLA
2 - 0
VAS
51%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 0
VAS
10%
21%
69%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |