Nova Iguaçu vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
2 - 1
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
38%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
MAD
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BOA
2 - 1
NOV
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 2
BOT
12%
24%
64%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 0
FLA
11%
22%
67%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 1
VOL
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAB
1 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 1
MAC
84%
13%
4%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 2
BAN
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |