Nova Iguaçu vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
45.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAX
4 - 1
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
INT
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
NOV
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 2
MAC
48%
25%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
2 - 1
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAX
4 - 1
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAX
0 - 0
MIR
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
INT
0 - 3
CAX
30%
30%
41%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CAX
2 - 2
ECA
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ECA
1 - 1
CAX
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |