Nova Iguaçu vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
64.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
FLA
11%
23%
66%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRA
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BAN
0 - 0
NOV
24%
25%
52%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
VOL
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VAS
4 - 2
NOV
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FLA
3 - 1
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
APA
2 - 1
BOT
11%
24%
65%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
MAD
88%
10%
2%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
BOA
87%
11%
3%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
BOT
11%
23%
66%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | +1 |