Nova Iguaçu vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
MAD
3 - 1
NOV
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 5
BOA
27%
23%
50%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
RES
1 - 2
NOV
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
NOV
83%
13%
4%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 0
AME
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 2
VOL
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
RIP
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
RIP
1 - 0
BOT
7%
16%
77%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
MAC
93%
6%
2%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | -1 |