Nova Conquista vs Tocantis Miracema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
64.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
NCO
2 - 2
PAL
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NCO
0 - 3
TOC
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
NCO
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GUR
1 - 3
NCO
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NCO
2 - 0
CAP
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantis Miracema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
3 - 2
TMI
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
TMI
3 - 1
INT
42%
23%
34%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
TMI
1 - 1
CAP
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TMI
0 - 3
PAL
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
TOC
4 - 1
TMI
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |