AS BNG vs FC Nathaly's de Pointe-Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
8º
25
10º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS BNG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BNG
3 - 3
TAL
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
DIA
0 - 0
BNG
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BNG
2 - 0
JUK
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOK
0 - 1
BNG
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BNG
2 - 1
CAR
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC Nathaly's de Pointe-Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
NPN
0 - 2
MOK
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NPN
0 - 0
KON
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
NPN
1 - 1
CHE
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
NPN
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
NPN
0 - 1
PAT
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |