AS BNG vs Étoile Du Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
8º
45
3º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS BNG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
INT
4 - 1
BNG
41%
28%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
BNG
0 - 2
CHE
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BNG
2 - 2
LEO
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
BNG
2 - 0
PAT
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 2
BNG
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Étoile Du Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 0
MOK
49%
27%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 0
ETO
43%
28%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 0
INT
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ETO
2 - 1
LEO
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 1
ETO
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |