NouLa vs Valtti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
73.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NouLa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KOI
3 - 3
NOU
56%
19%
25%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
NOU
0 - 5
JAP
10%
15%
76%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
PKK
5 - 2
NOU
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
NOU
4 - 1
FCL
46%
22%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
NOU
0 - 2
TOT
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Valtti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
PVA
0 - 1
RPS
56%
20%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TUP
5 - 1
PVA
18%
18%
65%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 3
PVA
8%
13%
78%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
PVA
3 - 1
MPS
24%
20%
56%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
PVA
2 - 0
KOI
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |