Notwane vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notwane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
NOT
0 - 3
MAS
37%
26%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
GAB
2 - 0
NOT
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
NOT
0 - 4
BOT
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NOT
2 - 1
MOG
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
POL
2 - 0
NOT
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 1
GAB
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
BOT
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
EXT
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 2
TOW
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
SES
2 - 2
BOT
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |