Notwane vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notwane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 0
NOT
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
NOT
3 - 1
BRH
54%
22%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
TAF
0 - 1
NOT
49%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 1
EXT
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 1
NOT
61%
21%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
MIS
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
5 - 1
MOG
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BRH
1 - 2
BOT
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
NIC
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |