Notts County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1935 |
BUR
4 - 0
NOT
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1934 |
NOT
4 - 0
SWA
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1934 |
NOT
1 - 0
MUD
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +2 |
| 25 Dec. 1934 |
MUD
2 - 1
NOT
72%
16%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
NOT
1 - 1
HUL
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1935 |
OLD
0 - 2
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1934 |
BOL
2 - 0
OLD
80%
12%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1934 |
OLD
2 - 3
BPO
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1934 |
BPO
4 - 0
OLD
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
OLD
1 - 2
WHU
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |