Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 1
NOT
43%
25%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 4
OXF
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 2
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CUM
3 - 0
NOT
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
WYC
2 - 2
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
AFC
3 - 1
MAN
56%
23%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 4
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
EXE
0 - 2
AFC
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 0
BRO
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 2
AFC
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |