Notts County vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
YEO
2 - 1
NOT
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
DAG
3 - 1
NOT
42%
26%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 2
ROC
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 2
OLD
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
HUR
3 - 0
NOT
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 2
TRA
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
BRO
1 - 0
BOU
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
POS
3 - 3
BOU
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 2
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CUM
1 - 0
BOU
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |