Nottingham Forest vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BBU
3 - 0
NTT
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
NTT
2 - 2
CRY
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
NTT
4 - 2
LEE
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
WAT
2 - 0
NTT
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BHA
0 - 0
NTT
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
SCU
2 - 2
OLD
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
OLD
1 - 2
CRE
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
OLD
1 - 2
DON
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
YEO
4 - 1
OLD
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
OLD
0 - 2
SWI
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |