Nottingham Forest vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
BIR
0 - 1
NTT
59%
22%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
QPR
1 - 2
NTT
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
NTT
1 - 2
CAR
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 1
NTT
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
NTT
0 - 0
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
MID
3 - 1
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MID
2 - 0
MKD
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SHW
1 - 3
MID
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 2
MID
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MID
0 - 1
BRI
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |