Nottingham Forest vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
NTT
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
REA
0 - 3
NTT
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
NTT
2 - 1
BOU
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NTT
4 - 1
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BPO
4 - 4
NTT
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
MID
3 - 0
MIL
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SHW
2 - 0
MID
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
MID
1 - 0
BOL
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MID
0 - 1
LEE
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
BIR
1 - 1
MID
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |