Nottingham Forest vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NTT
2 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
NTT
1 - 4
WIG
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 2
NTT
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
HUR
1 - 1
NTT
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NTT
1 - 0
BRI
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BIR
1 - 0
POS
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
COV
3 - 2
BIR
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
WAT
2 - 0
BIR
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SHW
3 - 2
BIR
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BIR
1 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |