Notodden vs Sarpsborg FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2005 |
ODD
6 - 1
NOT
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
NOT
5 - 1
GBK
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
NOT
2 - 3
SJE
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
DRO
1 - 4
NOT
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
NOT
2 - 0
ORN
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 4
SAR
64%
19%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2005 |
SAR
1 - 0
ODD
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
SAR
0 - 3
GBK
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
SJE
0 - 3
SAR
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
SAR
2 - 1
DRO
71%
17%
11%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |