Notodden vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 0
NOT
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NOT
3 - 0
BRY
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
ULL
2 - 0
NOT
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
NOT
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NOT
2 - 0
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
S08
1 - 2
KON
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SDF
1 - 2
S08
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
S08
4 - 4
IKS
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
S08
3 - 2
ODD
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MFK
3 - 1
S08
81%
14%
6%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |