Notodden vs Lysekloster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
14º
9º
41
3º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
NOT
54%
21%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 0
ETO
33%
24%
44%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 1
NOT
27%
22%
51%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SSK
2 - 1
NOT
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
EID
3 - 0
NOT
61%
19%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lysekloster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
STO
0 - 4
LYS
15%
18%
68%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LYS
2 - 1
FKA
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LYS
1 - 3
VAR
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
FAN
0 - 2
LYS
30%
22%
48%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FFC
2 - 1
LYS
37%
24%
38%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |