Notodden vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
1 - 1
NOT
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NOT
3 - 2
VIN
48%
22%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FKA
0 - 1
NOT
44%
23%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NOT
1 - 1
STR
60%
19%
21%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
KON
1 - 2
NOT
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
JER
4 - 0
POR
77%
14%
9%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 2
JER
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
JER
9 - 0
BIR
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
HOL
3 - 3
JER
23%
23%
55%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
ODD
0 - 0
JER
28%
23%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |