Notodden vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
14º
9º
33
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 2
NOT
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 1
JER
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
NOT
50%
21%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 4
HOD
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
VIK
2 - 3
NOT
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ORN
1 - 1
FKA
25%
22%
53%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 2
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
FKA
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 1
VIK
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
HOD
2 - 1
FKA
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |