Notodden vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
2 - 3
NOT
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRA
71%
16%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ARN
0 - 2
NOT
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
NOT
0 - 0
VIN
45%
22%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
VIK
2 - 4
NOT
50%
22%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
FKA
2 - 1
NES
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
VID
1 - 1
FKA
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
FKA
1 - 1
ASA
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
2 - 0
FKA
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
FKA
2 - 0
FAN
53%
20%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |