Notodden vs Lyn 1896 FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
7º
4º
62
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ORN
4 - 0
NOT
28%
23%
50%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 0
FKA
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EGE
1 - 1
NOT
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 1
KJE
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 1
NOT
20%
21%
60%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LYN
2 - 1
VAR
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 4
LYN
15%
20%
65%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
LYN
24%
23%
54%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
LYN
4 - 0
AAL
80%
13%
6%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ORN
0 - 0
LYN
17%
21%
62%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |