Notodden vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
KJE
1 - 0
NOT
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
NOT
9 - 1
NES
73%
16%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 2
NOT
28%
25%
48%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
NOT
4 - 0
FOR
83%
11%
6%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
STO
1 - 1
NOT
17%
22%
60%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
ASK
30%
23%
47%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
STA
1 - 1
BAR
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BAR
4 - 3
MAN
40%
23%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
OTF
1 - 2
BAR
28%
22%
50%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 1
FRI
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |