Notodden II vs Larvik Turn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
DRA
10 - 1
NFK
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
NFK
1 - 2
PGE
38%
21%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
NFK
1 - 2
SKA
32%
22%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
URA
5 - 2
NFK
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
NFK
0 - 4
ORN
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Larvik Turn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
LAR
3 - 3
PGE
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ORN
2 - 4
LAR
28%
23%
49%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
FKT
1 - 1
LAR
12%
19%
68%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
IFL
1 - 3
LAR
13%
19%
68%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 2
SFO
77%
15%
9%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |