Noto vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
GEL
1 - 3
NOT
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 0
USV
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 1
NOT
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
5 - 0
COM
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
NOT
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ASD
5 - 0
ACI
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NIS
0 - 4
ASD
17%
25%
58%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 0
RAG
48%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
NUO
3 - 2
ASD
81%
14%
6%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 3
MES
27%
27%
46%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |