Noto vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 3
NOT
41%
24%
34%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NIS
0 - 0
NOT
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NOT
2 - 1
ACR
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NUV
2 - 1
NOT
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
NOT
6 - 0
CIT
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ASD
3 - 2
ACR
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NUV
0 - 1
ASD
47%
25%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 0
NIS
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CIT
0 - 5
ASD
18%
23%
58%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ASD
3 - 0
POL
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |