Notch vs WBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
SNL
2 - 5
NOT
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 2
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BOS
1 - 0
NOT
42%
25%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
INT
0 - 1
NOT
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NOT
0 - 2
VIC
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
WBC
2 - 1
RHO
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
WBC
2 - 1
TAK
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VIC
0 - 0
WBC
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
WBC
2 - 3
EXC
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
INT
3 - 1
WBC
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |