Notch vs Bintang Lair analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
5.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 0
PVV
47%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 2
VOO
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RHO
3 - 2
NOT
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 4
NOT
12%
15%
73%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 1
NOT
40%
21%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bintang Lair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
BIN
0 - 8
VOO
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BIN
0 - 8
VOO
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
BIN
2 - 6
NOT
21%
19%
60%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
RHO
15 - 0
BIN
82%
11%
7%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
BIN
3 - 4
IWA
34%
21%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |