Notch vs Bintang Lair analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NOT
1 - 1
WUN
51%
23%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
NOT
5 - 2
IWA
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
NOT
1 - 0
RHO
8%
15%
77%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
VOO
1 - 1
NOT
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
VIC
3 - 4
NOT
80%
13%
6%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Bintang Lair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BIN
1 - 5
INT
12%
17%
72%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BFC
3 - 3
BIN
44%
22%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BIN
4 - 3
SFC
77%
14%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TRA
1 - 2
BIN
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BIN
2 - 1
ACO
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |