Notch vs Nishan '42 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ACO
2 - 0
NOT
38%
23%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 4
BFC
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
NOT
0 - 5
RHO
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -3 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 3
NOT
22%
21%
57%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NOT
1 - 0
VOO
72%
17%
12%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nishan '42
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
RHO
4 - 1
NIS
91%
7%
2%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
NIS
2 - 6
SNL
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
NIS
0 - 3
INT
6%
13%
81%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
WUN
1 - 2
NIS
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
NIS
2 - 5
PVV
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |