Notch vs Nishan '42 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
VIC
0 - 0
NOT
51%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
PVV
1 - 1
NOT
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
NOT
2 - 0
BOT
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
WUN
1 - 3
NOT
43%
23%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
VOO
1 - 4
NOT
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nishan '42
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
NIS
1 - 1
SNL
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
PAP
1 - 5
NIS
52%
20%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
NIS
2 - 3
WBC
39%
21%
40%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
TRA
4 - 1
NIS
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
INT
3 - 0
NIS
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |