Notch vs Nishan '42 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NOT
3 - 1
BOT
51%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VIC
2 - 0
NOT
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
VOO
2 - 0
NOT
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NOT
1 - 1
RHO
49%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
WBC
4 - 1
NOT
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nishan '42
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
NIS
2 - 0
VOO
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 3
NIS
48%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
NIS
2 - 1
RHO
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
WBC
3 - 1
NIS
58%
19%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
NIS
2 - 1
SNL
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |