Notch vs Nishan '42 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TAK
2 - 0
NOT
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
WBC
2 - 1
NOT
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 1
BOT
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RHO
3 - 0
NOT
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -13 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
NOT
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | +11 |
Matches
Nishan '42
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NIS
2 - 0
EXC
42%
22%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NIS
1 - 1
RHO
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VIC
5 - 1
NIS
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NIS
3 - 3
TRA
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -7 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
NIS
50%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +7 |