Notch vs Leo Victor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
INT
2 - 0
NOT
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 2
NOT
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 0
TRA
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
NOT
4 - 3
BOS
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 3
NOT
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leo Victor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 1
VIC
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VIC
3 - 0
RAN
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
WBC
3 - 0
VIC
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
VIC
4 - 3
RHO
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 2
EXC
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |